
PARIS, France, June 30, 2026 (BSS/AFP) - Europe's most severe heatwave on
record is losing ground, although more than 95 million people on the
continent are set to face temperatures of at least 35C on Tuesday, according
to AFP calculations.
The continent is not used to experiencing such temperatures, especially so
early in the summer, and its impact has been severe with excess deaths
recorded, schools forced to close and outdoor activities canceled.
Tuesday's prediction is down from the more than 130 million estimated to have
experienced such temperatures on Monday.
Two in 5 people in Europe (excluding Turkey) are still expected to face
temperatures above 30C Tuesday as the heatwave scorches east after smothering
western Europe last week.
This heatwave would have been "virtually impossible" in June without climate
change, World Weather Attribution group scientists said.
Tuesday's affected populations are mainly located in the eastern and southern
parts of the continent.
In Hungary, almost the entire population is expected to see temperatures
reach 35C.
Slovakia, Moldova, Ukraine, Romania, Serbia and Croatia are also expected to
see the thermometer climb above that threshold.
In Spain and Italy, millions of people are also set to be hit with these high
temperatures.
The projected figures, calculated by AFP using a similar methodology to
Austrian NGO Klimadashboard, "probably underestimates the number of people
affected in densely populated urban areas", the NGO says on its European Heat
Tracker website.
This is because this analysis does not fully capture urban heat-island
effects -- when cities are significantly warmer than surrounding rural areas,
David Jablonski of Klimadashboard told AFP.
To produce these figures, AFP combined forecasts issued at 0300 GMT from the
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's national weather service, with
population-density data from the Joint Research Centre.
Residents of a given area are counted if the model forecasts temperatures
above 30C or 35C at that location at any point during the day on Tuesday.