
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan, Nov 28, 2025 (BSS/AFP) - Sweeping legal reforms and
regional conflict have consolidated the Pakistani military's grip on power in
the past year, diluting the role of the civilian government while offering an
unprecedented legal shield to the army chief, experts say.
Widely seen as Pakistan's most powerful institution, the military has
governed the country for nearly half its existence via a series of coups
since independence in 1947.
One of those military rulers, General Pervez Musharraf, was found guilty of
treason while living in exile after an almost decade-long rule, which began
in a 1999 coup.
But experts say a repeat of that scenario is increasingly unlikely.
Constitutional changes rushed through parliament in November gave sweeping
new powers to top officials including the current army chief, Field Marshal
Asim Munir, already considered the most powerful man in the country.
Munir's Field Marshal rank, granted after the deadly conflict in May with
arch-rival India, now also includes lifelong immunity from legal prosecution.
"Lifelong immunity means that tomorrow, if Asim Munir imposes a martial law,
he will never be tried for committing an act of treason," said defence
analyst Ayesha Siddiqa.
"So theoretically, a coup is possible," she told AFP.
Islamabad-based legal expert Osama Malik believes the constitutional
amendment means "this time is different".
"The constitution itself is being disfigured during a civilian government,
and not when a martial law is imposed," he told AFP.
After the May conflict with India -- which Munir claims to have won -- and
amid escalating clashes with neigbouring Afghanistan, some of the resentment
expressed by Pakistanis after last year's heated election brought a surge of
anti-military rhetoric has also eased.
Despite some opposition parties denouncing Munir's new role and legal
immunity, few people dared to protest openly and there was only a short flash
of social media outrage.
The military has not officially commented on the constitutional amendments,
and neither it nor the government responded to requests for comment.
- 'Hybrid' model -
No prime minister has ever completed a full five-year term in Pakistan's
history, and civilian governments have acknowledged the military's role in
state affairs.
Defence Minister Khawaja Asif has called the situation a "hybrid" model and
signalled key decisions are influenced by both civilian and military leaders.
"It is by consensus, whatever is taking place," he told digital media outlet
Zeteo in September, though he denied that the army chief held more authority
than elected ministers.
Even during periods of civilian rule, most Pakistanis consider the army chief
the country's real kingmaker -- meaning Munir's new powers are freighted with
huge political significance as the country navigates a sensitive geopolitical
period following armed conflict with both its neighbours.
Munir previously led Pakistan's powerful Inter-Services Intelligence agency.
Yet he was ousted from that post in 2019 after just eight months under
previous prime minister Imran Khan, for reasons that have never been made
public.
Khan himself was later pushed out by a no-confidence vote in the country's
legislature in 2022, which analysts say was the result of falling out with
the army. His successor, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif elevated Munir to army
chief.
The military has long denied the involvement in elections or political
affairs.
Khan is now languishing in jail on corruption charges he denies, with his
many supporters accusing the army of fostering his rival coalition government
while pushing through two constitutional amendments in a year to tighten its
oversight of courts and judges.
Resentment among Khan supporters boiled over into mass nationwide protests in
2023 ahead of elections he ultimately lost, and a march on the capital last
year that turned into a violent standoff with authorities.
"Everything that is being done in Pakistan, let it be constitutional
amendments or new parallel forces, is out of fear of Imran Khan and his
popularity," said Zulfikar Bukhari, spokesperson for Khan's Pakistan Tehreek-
e-Insaf party.
- 'Favourite field marshal' -
The Human Rights Commission of Pakistan (HRCP) said the constitutional change
"further weakens essential checks and balances at a time when public trust in
state institutions is fragile".
The changes elevate Munir to 'Chief of Defence Forces', expanding his
oversight to include the air force and the navy.
Initially set to retire in 2027, Munir can now also remain in office until
2030, giving him "an opportunity to oversee the next elections", Siddiqa
said.
Munir has also bolstered his international standing, recently making two
official visits to the United States, where President Donald Trump called him
"his favourite field marshal".
In photos released by the White House, Munir stands by Sharif and Trump in a
suit and tie, raising eyebrows at home given army chiefs have in the past
worn uniform during official visits.