TURNBERRY, United Kingdom, July 27, 2025 (BSS/AFP) - President Donald Trump 
and EU chief Ursula von der Leyen meet Sunday in Scotland in a decisive push 
to resolve a months-long transatlantic trade standoff -- with the US leader 
putting the chances of a deal at one in two.

The clock is ticking with Trump vowing to hit dozens of countries with 
punitive tariffs unless they hammer out a pact with Washington by August 1 -- 
with the EU facing an across-the-board levy of 30 percent.

Von der Leyen's European Commission, negotiating on behalf of the EU's 27 
countries, has been pushing hard for a deal to salvage a trading relationship 
worth an annual 1.6 trillion euros ($1.9 trillion) in goods and services.

Brussels has coordinated closely with European capitals, whose diplomats are 
expected to meet swiftly to give their blessing to any deal struck at leader 
level -- if indeed Trump and von der Leyen see eye to eye.

Sunday's sit-down will take place at 4:30 pm local time (1530 GMT) in 
Turnberry, on Scotland's southwestern coast -- where Trump owns a luxury golf 
resort.

The 79-year-old said on arrival Friday he hoped to strike "the biggest deal 
of them all" with the EU.

Referring to von der Leyen simply as "Ursula", Trump praised her as "a highly 
respected woman" -- a far cry from his erstwhile hostility in accusing the EU 
of existing to "screw" the United States.

"I think we have a good 50-50 chance" of a deal, said the president -- citing 
sticking points on "maybe 20 different things".

The European Commission said Thursday it believed a deal was "in reach".

- 15-percent -

According to European diplomats, the agreement on the table involves a 
baseline 15-percent levy on EU exports to the United States -- the same level 
secured by Japan -- with carve-outs for critical sectors including aircraft, 
lumber and spirits excluding wine.

The EU would also commit to ramp up purchases of US liquefied natural gas, as 
one of a series of investment pledges.

The European side was also hoping for a compromise on steel that could allow 
a certain quota to enter the United States, with amounts beyond that taxed at 
50 percent.

Hit by multiple waves of tariffs since Trump reclaimed the White House, the 
EU is currently subject to a 25-percent levy on cars, 50 percent on steel and 
aluminium, and an across-the-board tariff of 10 percent, which Washington 
threatens to hike to 30 percent in a no-deal scenario.

The EU has focused on getting a deal with Washington to avoid sweeping 
tariffs from further harming its sluggish economy, with retaliation held out 
as a last resort.

Should talks fail, EU states have greenlit counter tariffs on $109 billion 
(93 billion euros) of US goods including aircraft and cars -- to take effect 
in stages from August 7 -- and Brussels is also drawing up a list of US 
services to potentially target.

Beyond that, countries like France say Brussels should not be afraid to 
deploy a so-called trade "bazooka" to restrict access to its market and 
public contracts -- but that would mark a major escalation with Washington.

- Dealmaker credentials -

Trump has embarked since returning to power on a campaign to reshape US trade 
with the world.

But polls at home suggest the American public is unconvinced by his strategy, 
with a recent Gallup survey showing his approval rating at 37 percent -- down 
10 points from January.

Having promised "90 deals in 90 days," Trump's administration has so far 
unveiled five, including with Britain, Japan and the Philippines.

In addition to bolstering his dealmaker credentials, a headline agreement 
with the EU could bring a welcome distraction from the scandal around Jeffrey 
Epstein, the wealthy financier accused of sex trafficking who died in prison 
in 2019 before facing trial.

In his heyday, Epstein was friends with Trump and others in the New York jet-
set, but the president is now facing backlash from his own MAGA supporters 
demanding access to the case files.